NYS Independent Living Council, Inc.

Much work is being done across the country and throughout the world to increase awareness of the overall aging of the population and to advance wider understanding of the implications of this aging phenomenon for countries and for communities. New York State is engaging in similar work.

In the United States, the large baby boom cohort has been a dominating factor in shaping the country's demographic profile and this group will continue in this role. Baby boomers have begun to reach early-retirement age, and by 2015 the first huge wave of boomers will be over the age of 65. Among the country's states, New York ranks third in the number of older people, which has focused increasing discussion on the impending growth and impact of this segment of the State's population. In addition to the aging phenomenon, however, New York is one of the very few states whose future profile is also being profoundly shaped by additional demographic trends -- most notably, patterns of immigration, migration, and minority status.

Trends—

An analysis of briefs written by 36 agencies found that deliberation focused primarily on:

The increase expected in the State's elderly population, with some discussion of the expected decline in the nonelderly population;
The growth in the number of people with disabilities, which is due to increasing longevity of both persons who were born with disabilities and those who acquired disabilities during their nonelderly years, as well as the dramatic growth in the group aged 85 and over, who are most vulnerable to aging-related impairments; and
New York's growing racial and cultural diversity, which is heavily influenced by the State's strong immigration and migration patterns.

http://www.aging.state.ny.us/explore/project2015/report02/analysis01.htm#trends

Projected Population 65 and Over by County, 2000 to 2015

2000*

2005

2010

2015

Change 2000-2015

					Number	Percent
New York State	2,448,352	2,488,395	2,607,143	2,878,193	429,841	17.56

New York City	937,857	961,024	1,013,361	1,133,951	196,094	20.91

Albany	42,594	42,135	43,698	49,096	6,502	15.27
Allegany	7,000	7,225	7,709	8,659	1,659	23.70
Bronx	133,948	137,021	143,836	158,112	24,164	18.04
Broome	32,831	31,826	31,913	34,050	1,219	3.71
Cattaraugus	12,277	12,425	12,877	14,024	1,747	14.23
Cayuga	11,809	12,130	12,756	13,970	2,161	18.30
Chautauqua	22,372	21,894	22,148	23,446	1,074	4.80
Chemung	14,222	13,731	13,626	14,452	230	1.62
Chenango	7,654	7,966	8,559	9,359	1,705	22.28
Clinton	9,483	10,329	11,125	12,497	3,014	31.78
Columbia	10,353	10,796	11,653	12,808	2,455	23.71
Cortland	6,056	6,406	6,766	7,380	1,324	21.86
Delaware	8,928	9,407	10,217	11,248	2,320	25.99
Dutchess	33,690	36,389	39,911	45,128	11,438	33.95
Erie	151,258	144,550	142,118	148,274	-2,984	-1.97
Essex	6,227	6,316	6,680	7,327	1,100	17.67
Franklin	6,554	6,662	7,170	8,149	1,595	24.34
Fulton	8,980	8,923	9,437	10,695	1,715	19.10
Genesee	8,661	8,677	9,132	9,989	1,328	15.33
Greene	7,544	8,079	8,957	10,124	2,580	34.20
Hamilton	1,076	1,069	1,190	1,316	240	22.30
Herkimer	10,844	10,784	11,028	11,851	1,007	9.29
Jefferson	12,627	11,765	11,502	12,064	-563	-4.46
Kings	282,658	285,042	292,003	321,912	39,254	13.89
Lewis	3,710	3,846	4,077	4,436	726	19.57
Livingston	7,328	7,433	7,924	8,965	1,637	22.34
Madison	8,661	8,578	9,176	9,923	1,262	14.57
Monroe	95,779	94,387	98,240	108,298	12,519	13.07
Montgomery	9,537	9,022	8,950	9,425	-112	-1.17
Nassau	200,841	194,121	191,969	202,882	2,041	1.02
New York	186,776	195,581	212,995	242,281	55,505	29.72
Niagara	33,884	33,956	34,658	37,498	3,614	10.67
Oneida	38,753	38,109	38,473	41,210	2,457	6.34
Onondaga	63,294	63,452	64,716	69,722	6,428	10.16
Ontario	13,200	14,390	16,350	19,228	6,028	45.67
Orange	35,185	36,951	40,618	47,052	11,867	33.73
Orleans	5,472	5,837	6,285	7,175	1,703	31.12
Oswego	13,875	14,245	15,495	17,630	3,755	27.06
Otsego	9,279	9,207	9,736	10,694	1,415	15.25
Putnam	9,147	10,622	12,400	14,619	5,472	59.82
Queens	283,042	285,294	297,288	331,091	48,049	16.98
Rensselaer	20,682	20,332	21,084	23,513	2,831	13.69
Richmond	51,433	58,086	67,239	80,555	29,122	56.62
Rockland	33,853	38,786	43,126	47,875	14,022	41.42
Saint Lawrence	14,543	15,160	16,022	17,787	3,244	22.31
Saratoga	22,984	24,765	28,495	34,088	11,104	48.31
Schenectady	24,398	22,765	22,668	24,021	-377	-1.55
Schoharie	4,697	4,668	4,941	5,460	763	16.24
Schuyler	2,815	3,162	3,414	3,748	933	33.14
Seneca	5,050	5,215	5,469	5,902	852	16.87
Steuben	14,971	15,692	16,626	18,387	3,416	22.82
Suffolk	167,558	182,343	201,479	226,009	58,451	34.88
Sullivan	10,584	10,955	11,969	13,338	2,754	26.02
Tioga	6,785	7,153	7,567	8,167	1,382	20.37
Tompkins	9,257	8,924	9,372	10,626	1,369	14.79
Ulster	23,711	24,144	26,022	29,603	5,892	24.85
Warren	9,595	10,391	11,564	13,089	3,494	36.41
Washington	8,550	9,330	10,166	11,242	2,692	31.49
Wayne	11,399	11,613	12,491	14,062	2,663	23.36
Westchester	128,964	128,105	130,572	139,615	10,651	8.26
Wyoming	5,297	6,362	7,347	8,364	3,067	57.90
Yates	3,817	3,866	4,149	4,683	866	22.69

44 Rural Counties	452,011	462,261	492,291	547,533	95,522	21.13
Urban Balance	1,996,341	2,026,134	2,114,852	2,330,660	334,319	16.75

* April 1, 2000 Decennial Census Count.

Source: New York Statistical Information System, Cornell Institute for Social and

Economic Research, September 2002.

http://www.aging.state.ny.us/explore/project2015/projections/Proj65+.htm